Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.055224 0.059858 0.064543 0.069627 0.074982 0.080446 0.086438
2025-04-06 0.047773 0.054548 0.061636 0.069577 0.078199 0.087250 0.097443
2025-04-13 0.043282 0.051726 0.060823 0.071292 0.082944 0.095456 0.109847
2025-04-20 0.038201 0.047701 0.058226 0.070641 0.084775 0.100260 0.118401
2025-04-27 0.034627 0.045003 0.056792 0.071005 0.087504 0.105890 0.127763
2025-05-04 0.032163 0.043341 0.056328 0.072288 0.091129 0.112431 0.138100
2025-05-11 0.030548 0.042522 0.056714 0.074449 0.095688 0.119998 0.149608
2025-05-18 0.026808 0.038814 0.053390 0.071966 0.094589 0.120848 0.153225
2025-05-25 0.024475 0.036701 0.051859 0.071507 0.095781 0.124291 0.159802
2025-06-01 0.022415 0.034789 0.050448 0.071079 0.096911 0.127588 0.166158
2025-06-08 0.021666 0.034549 0.051114 0.073211 0.101162 0.134631 0.177007
2025-06-15 0.020672 0.033901 0.051193 0.074553 0.104407 0.140450 0.186402
2025-06-22 0.019512 0.032989 0.050918 0.075467 0.107181 0.145800 0.195390
2025-06-29 0.018023 0.031522 0.049832 0.075271 0.108517 0.149372 0.202233
2025-07-06 0.017346 0.031177 0.050229 0.077007 0.112319 0.156022 0.212896
2025-07-13 0.015883 0.029581 0.048831 0.076284 0.112899 0.158617 0.218545
2025-07-20 0.014894 0.028629 0.048274 0.076648 0.114863 0.162937 0.226340
2025-07-27 0.014287 0.028222 0.048454 0.077992 0.118098 0.168869 0.236166
2025-08-03 0.014000 0.028295 0.049310 0.080263 0.122573 0.176406 0.248053
2025-08-10 0.012337 0.026057 0.046713 0.077645 0.120453 0.175434 0.249159
2025-08-17 0.011387 0.024916 0.045672 0.077160 0.121158 0.178073 0.254829
2025-08-24 0.010516 0.023846 0.044686 0.076708 0.121872 0.180702 0.260478
2025-08-31 0.010364 0.024006 0.045571 0.078954 0.126292 0.188200 0.272414